Transhumanism
T
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ranshumanists
believe that the homo sapiens sapiens is
rapidly becoming obsolete and that within a century or so our species will have
been replaced by homo robotiensi, [1] for we shall have gradually melded with computers, discarding our present flesh
and blood bodies in favour of metal ones.
Sir Roger Penrose, a distinguished Oxford mathematician, has
written two impressive books vigorously combating the idea that a machine can
ever attain consciousness [2].
I have read and admired both of them, but must reluctantly disagree. Even the
Dalai Lama, whom I rank among the wisest of men, has admitted that there is no
bar in Buddhist philosophy to our reincarnating in silicon. I believe the
argument will be settled once and for all some thirty or so years from now,
when we follow Penrose’s suggestion and ask a robot: ‘What does it feel like to
be a computer?’ to hear it answer, ‘Generally, pretty good. But today, I’m a
bit off colour and rather depressed. Could you take a look at my neural
circuits?’
‘Most
of the human race is now obsolete,’ is a transhumanist dictum.
Transhumanists argue our brains are no longer adequate to deal with the major
problems that confront the world today. One solution is to implant computers in
our brains; this will increase our intelligence while also giving us far more
control over our destructive emotions. Since only a relatively small percentage
of the world’s population will be able or willing to afford such implants, this
will eventually lead to the dominance of an elite, drawn largely from the
present developed countries, who will be far above the rest of the human race,
both physically and intellectually. Furthermore, genetic engineering – a costly
process – must surely lead to the breeding of children with enhanced physical
and intellectual powers, as in that prophetic film, Gattaca (1997). Since both computer implants and genetic
engineering will be unaffordable for most people in the Third
World , the prospects for the majority look grim. Furthermore, the
rapid development of robots means the uneducated and unintelligent will be
surplus to requirements. Compulsory sterilization on a vast scale for the
world’s poor maybe in the offing, unthinkable as it may seem to us now.
Countries that refuse to do this on moral grounds will find themselves unable
to compete with countries that have not had such scruples.
The average human brain can perform
twenty million billion operations per second (twenty MOPS). If computers
continue to improve according to Moore ’s
law, doubling their performance every twelve months [3],
they should be performing as efficiently as a human brain by 2020. By 2030, the
average desk computer, performing 10>19 operations per second, should be a
thousand times more powerful than the best human brain and also possess what we
term ‘consciousness’. The implications of this are so disturbing that it is not
surprising so few people are prepared to consider them coolly.
[1] Ray Kurzweil. 1999. The Age of Spiritual Machines, London , and Hans Moravec. 1988. Mind Children: The Future of Robot and Human
Intelligence, Cambridge
MA , are excellent introductions
to transhumanistic thought.
[2] Roger Penrose. 1989. The Emperor’s New Mind. Oxford ,
and 1995. Shadows of the Mind. Oxford .
[3] Formerly, every eighteen months; this figure has
now been revised downwards.
COPYRIGHT (C) 2010 J D FRODSHAM
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